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Kigali

The Critical and curious impacts of 13.2 Million population on the Socio-economic Perception of Rwanda

Author: Alain NSABIMANA
On:14/03/2023 16:45
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Good continuing improvement in housing and household areas, access to services and utilities as an indication that the majority of population continue to benefit from recent good economic growth by individual development.

The population of Rwanda were increased from 10.5 Million in 2012 to 13.2 Million in 2022 with an annual population growth rate of 2.3%. During 1978 Rwanda was populated with 4.6 million, in 2002 there were 8.1 Million and in 2022 there were 13.2 million this means that from 2012 to 2022 population was increased about 2.7 million in 10 years. The number of household is countered about 3,312,743 which means there are 4.0 average household size.

The number of females is greater than male where 48.5% are male and 51.5% are female. 72.1% live in rural areas and 27.9 lives in urban areas. Eastern province is highly populated province in Rwanda with 3,563,145 as 26.9% of whole country’s population and Kigali city with lower population 1,745,555 as 13.2%.

The proportion of young people (below 30 years) dropped from 70.3% in 2012 to 65.3% in 2022 and it is expected to be 54.3% by 2050. The proportion of population aged 16-64 increased from 53.4% in 2012 to 56.0% in 2022 and is expected to be 61.4% by 2050.

This had encountered the increase of the unemployment rate averaged from 15.90% in 2001 until 2022 reaching on all time high rate of 24.30% in the fourth quarter of 2022. As the number of population are still increasing but the main job creation is not increasing. The various reason that come from both the demand side or employer and the supply side or the worker. The demand side reduction may be caused by high interest rates, global recession and financial crisis this had favored because of the pandemic.

During 2002 population density was countered with 321 km2 and 415 km2 in 2012, 503 km2 in 2022. It expected to rise to 894 km2 in 2052 where average population will be 23,558,616. The current fertility rate (women aged between 15-49) is 3.8 in rural areas and 3.2 in urban areas. Rwandans are living longer and healthier life expectancy was raised from 46.4 years in 1978, 51.2 years in 2002, 64.5 years in 2012 to 69.6 in 2022 and now in 2023 is expected to be 70 years. The fertility was deducted from 8.6 in 1978, 5.9 in 2002 and 3.6 in 2022 this show how family planning is being implemented well in Rwanda.

Southern province has the highest number of lifetime number of out-migrants while eastern province has the highest number of lifetime in-migrants counted as 306,091 in all province but Kigali city as more in migrants numbered as 354,970. The lifetime immigrants in Rwanda is 366,785 and 65,762 recent immigrants from 2017 to 2022. The distribution of private household by types of habitat 64.4% live in planned rural settlement (imidugudu),

14.9% are dispersed/isolated housing, 8.9 % spontaneous/squatted housing, 6.9% modern planned urban housing, 2.3% old settlement and 0.8% Integrated model village.

The distribution of private household by roof materials by the area of residence in urban areas 93.9% are iron sheet, 5.5% local tiles and 0.5% uses other materials. In rural areas 65.9% are iron sheet, 33.9% are local tiles and 0.2 are other materials.

The trend of attended level of education are countered as 33.5 are non-educated, 58.8 has primary education, 15.1% has secondary education and 3.3 has university education.

The level of education in Rwanda is 89.4%, male is 88.4% and female are 90.3%. in urban area there are 91.7% and 88.6% in rural areas. Northern province is highly attending by 92.9% and Eastern province as lower education attending with 87.4%. as the number of educated people had increased not only for job opportunities but also being familiar with internationals.

As Rwanda is the home for international conference the volunteering opportunities are provided to those who qualified with different skills especially languages. being competitive at international market dealing with foreign who had potential power to access market.  

The power invested in technology had benefited the country as private household whose at least one-member use internet in last 12 months. creativity and innovation had increased because of technological advancement whereas online services impacted the community and working from home as the reduction of incurring cost was to travel to find service was removed and it promoted the online business where those with internet started the affiliate marketing and digital marketing and social media development

The distribution of private household by the main source of lighting are 47.1% uses Electricity from REG, 28.4% use Flashing/phone flashlight, 13.9% use solar panel, 4.2% uses Firewood, 2.9% use candles, 1.65 uses Kerosene/paraffin/Lantern lamp, 1.3 use Generator/Batteries and 0.6 are others.

  

This increased from 5.0% in 2002 to 17.9% in 2012 and 61.0% in 2022. The most lighting province is Kigali city 89.7% and the lower is 54.1% Northern province. In 2002, 43.4% has access to radio, 64.0 in 2012 and 81.3 in 2022. This influenced the total current installed capacity to generate electricity power in Rwanda to 276.068W This favorited the many job creation relating to hydroelectric power motives.

Different area of the country has benefited by increasing the hour of working wherever they use 24 hours of working, chargeable vehicles and many more at all it marked the development of technology, cyber security and intelligent system like traffic intelligent controls (sophia) at all road cameras

Households that have access to improved drinking water are countered to 82.3% in whole country the highest province pure water is Kigali city 97.4% and the least one is Western province with 75.4%. the distribution of households by the main source of drinking water 32.5% use Public tap out of compound, 27.6% uses Protected spring well, 11.5% use pipe born water in compound, 11.3% use unprotected spring, 6.3% uses river, lakes, ponds, stream, and surface water, 3.6% use water from pipe of neighborhood, 3.1% use tubes or borehole, 2.5% uses mineral water, 1.0% uses rain water, 0.0% use tanker truck and 0.1% uses other source of drinking water. It was found that 17.9% takes 0 minutes to imply water on their premises, 46.6% takes less than 30 minutes and 35.4% takes more than 30 minutes.            

Agriculture plays big role in economy of the country where 2,280,854 around 69% households engaged in agricultural activities (crop plantation and animal husbandry). 611,581 rounded 26.8% engages in crop farming, 205,924 approximately 9.0% engages in animal rearing while 1,463,347 approximately 64.2% do both crop plantation and animal husbandry.

This has promoted the growth of the agricultural market at the extent of being competitive at international market. Rwanda’s import and export of agricultural product has played role on GDP at 47%, industry contributed 24% of GDP and 8% was attributed to adjustment for taxes and subsidies on the products but this marks the huge in price fluctuation as food crops rise at rate of 200% for beans, 100% Irish potatoes at domestic market as far as people had risen the capability at international market as an influence gained from Ukraine and Russian war and Covid-19 this influenced price of agricultural product as there were changes into industrial products due to rise of petrol

 

The observation shows that;

Consistent improvement in life expectancy as indication of improving quality of life across abroad.

Good continuing improvement in housing and household areas, access to services and utilities as an indication that the majority of population continue to benefit from recent good economic growth by individual development.

Positive demographic developments as annual population growth in Rwanda slowed down to 2.3% between 2012 and 2022, from 2.6% between 2002 and 2012. And this due to decreasing fertility and premature is also decreasing this marks how the future generation will be engaged with more youth means the number of labor will be at the high rate

The challenges founded are: sustaining observed improvements in living standards and demographics, Low level of school attendance in secondary educations and implications like Human capital, employment and productivity. Population density and its implications like Housing, agriculture and environment. 

Positive demographic developments as annual population growth in Rwanda slowed down to 2.3% between 2012 and 2022



Agriculture plays big role in economy of the country where 2,280,854 around 69% households engaged


The power invested in technology had benefited the country as private household whose at least one-member use internet in last 12 months


Author KWIZERA UWIMANA Josue



Author


Inyarwanda BACKGROUND